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2026-03-23

Model Predictions

Model Raptors 905 Salt Lake City Stars Spread Result
Elo 69.2% 30.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 64.7% 35.3% - โœ“
Margin 72.0% 28.0% -5.2 โœ“ (9.8 off)
Pythagorean 55.3% 44.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 70.4% 29.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 68.1% 31.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 68.2% 31.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 57.3% 42.7% - โœ“

Actual: Salt Lake City Stars -15 (101-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Raptors 905

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A.J. Lawson * 34 4-12 0-5 1-3 7 4 1 0 0 11 11 -
Alijah Martin * 31 7-16 1-6 1-3 4 5 2 0 3 16 8 -
Tyson Degenhart * 27 5-7 2-2 1-1 10 2 1 0 1 14 19 -
Tyrese Samuel * 19 1-2 0-0 1-1 3 1 1 0 2 4 5 -
Markelle Fultz * 13 5-7 0-0 1-1 3 1 0 0 0 12 9 -
Tyreke Key 34 10-13 1-2 1-1 2 3 1 1 1 23 16 -
AJ Hoggard 28 7-11 4-5 0-1 4 7 0 1 4 18 15 -
Jarkel Joiner 25 3-10 1-1 2-3 7 2 2 0 3 10 8 -
Quincy Guerrier 20 2-3 0-1 2-3 4 3 1 1 1 8 13 -
Tylor Perry 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Caleb Stone-Carrawell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Salt Lake City Stars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trey Townsend * 40 4-9 2-5 0-1 8 3 0 0 1 10 11 -
Max Abmas * 34 4-11 2-6 2-2 4 4 1 0 4 13 7 -
Dereon Seabron * 33 8-15 1-3 1-2 7 7 2 0 4 19 16 -
Steven Crowl * 31 3-4 0-0 1-1 10 3 0 1 1 7 16 -
Sean East II * 23 5-11 0-3 1-1 0 3 1 2 1 11 5 -
Matthew Murrell 25 3-9 2-6 3-5 1 1 1 0 3 13 4 -
Justin Harmon 20 4-12 2-6 2-2 3 0 0 1 0 14 6 -
Daniel Batcho 16 4-6 0-0 1-1 6 1 3 1 0 9 14 -
Matthew Cleveland 13 2-6 1-2 0-1 0 1 1 0 1 5 0 -
Max Klesmit 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter