Model Predictions
| Model | Austin Spurs | Noblesville Boom | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.3% | 42.7% | -2.1 | ✓ (17.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.3% | 32.7% | -4.0 | ✓ (16.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Noblesville Boom -20 (97-117). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Austin Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emanuel Miller * | 35 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Harrison Ingram * | 34 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Adam Flagler * | 34 | 11-16 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 26 | - |
| Kyle Mangas * | 25 | 7-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| James Banks III * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Stanley Umude | 25 | 8-12 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Osayi Osifo | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Jayden Nunn | 21 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Elfrid Payton | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Tre King | 6 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Trey McGowens | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Noblesville Boom
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Hildreth * | 43 | 7-16 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Keion Brooks Jr. * | 40 | 3-17 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Dakota Mathias * | 40 | 5-15 | 3-11 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Bell * | 28 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Au'Diese Toney * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| DaJuan Gordon | 31 | 9-18 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Samson Johnson | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| RJ Felton | 11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| M.J. Iraldi | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter