Model Predictions
| Model | Mexico City Capitanes | Sioux Falls Skyforce | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.1% | 52.9% | -0.4 | ✗ (10.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.0% | 59.0% | +2.0 | ✗ (13.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sioux Falls Skyforce -11 (105-116). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Mexico City Capitanes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Bouknight * | 35 | 13-18 | 8-12 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 38 | 26 | - |
| Ahmad Caver * | 33 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Andersson Garcia * | 31 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 29 | - |
| Reynan dos Santos * | 28 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Tomas Chapero * | 22 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Wade Taylor IV | 25 | 1-10 | 0-8 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Felipe Haase | 21 | 2-9 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| RJ Melendez | 20 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| LJ Figueroa | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Minor | 5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
Sioux Falls Skyforce
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Christopher * | 37 | 9-27 | 6-16 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 10 | - |
| Steve Settle III * | 32 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Trevor Keels * | 29 | 6-16 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Dennis Smith Jr. * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Dain Dainja * | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Cam Carter | 27 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Gabe Madsen | 27 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Vladislav Goldin | 26 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 24 | - |
| Alex Fudge | 15 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
* = starter