Model Predictions
| Model | Maine Celtics | Osceola Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.3% | 82.7% | +5.7 | ✓ (25.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.6% | 83.4% | +8.9 | ✓ (22.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Osceola Magic +31 (134-103). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Maine Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hason Ward * | 31 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 23 | - |
| Jalen Bridges * | 29 | 7-13 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Hayden Gray * | 29 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| John Tonje * | 24 | 3-11 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Kendall Brown * | 17 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -7 | - |
| Kameron Warrens | 23 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Pedro Bradshaw | 21 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Aaron Scott | 18 | 2-10 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Keon Johnson | 17 | 4-11 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Hank Morgan | 14 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Ebenezer Dowuona | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
Osceola Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Morales * | 27 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Lester Quinones * | 27 | 9-14 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Colin Castleton * | 25 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Reece Beekman * | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Justin Minaya * | 22 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Phillip Wheeler | 29 | 3-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Javonte Smart | 26 | 6-15 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| William Baker | 21 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Jarron Cumberland | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Ace Baldwin | 12 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Johnell Davis | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter