Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.2% | 75.8% | +7.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.6% | 58.4% | +3.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +10 (127-117). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg * | 38 | 6-19 | 0-6 | 6-8 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 13 | +0.6 |
| Kyrie Irving * | 37 | 11-25 | 7-16 | 5-7 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 34 | 23 | -3.2 |
| Caleb Martin * | 32 | 6-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 19 | -8.8 |
| P.J. Washington * | 26 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | -21.5 |
| Daniel Gafford * | 16 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | -11.2 |
| Naji Marshall | 29 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | -3.1 |
| Santi Aldama | 16 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +15.9 |
| Zaccharie Risacher | 14 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -5.4 |
| Morez Johnson Jr. | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -9.3 |
| Walter Clayton Jr. | 13 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -9.3 |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Proctor * | 34 | 10-19 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 25 | +10.5 |
| Mario Hezonja * | 34 | 9-12 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 19 | +1.2 |
| Jaylon Tyson * | 33 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | +10.6 |
| Meleek Thomas * | 33 | 8-17 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 5 | +4.9 |
| Thomas Bryant * | 27 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 20 | +6.1 |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 28 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | +6.3 |
| Norchad Omier | 26 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 18 | +11.6 |
| Riley Minix | 22 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | +2.5 |
* = starter