Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.8% | 83.2% | +8.5 | ✓ (30.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.1% | 74.9% | +12.0 | ✓ (27.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +39 (133-94). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg * | 27 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | -16.2 |
| Kyrie Irving * | 26 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | -32.1 |
| Caleb Martin * | 20 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | -15.5 |
| P.J. Washington * | 16 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | -11.7 |
| Daniel Gafford * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -14.2 |
| Zaccharie Risacher | 24 | 9-14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 19 | -5.0 |
| Naji Marshall | 22 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | -23.9 |
| Walter Clayton Jr. | 21 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -3 | -14.3 |
| Morez Johnson Jr. | 13 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | -10.9 |
| Tobi Lawal | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -5.2 |
| Santi Aldama | 9 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -14.8 |
| Marcus Sasser | 8 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | -8.7 |
| Moussa Cissé | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.6 |
| Max Christie | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1.8 |
| Jett Howard | 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | +3.4 |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayo Dosunmu * | 26 | 8-15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 7 | +23.9 |
| LaMelo Ball * | 25 | 8-14 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 18 | +21.8 |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 25 | 7-12 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 14 | +23.3 |
| Jonathan Kuminga * | 24 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 15 | +15.3 |
| Rudy Gobert * | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 12 | +15.8 |
| Bones Hyland | 22 | 7-10 | 5-6 | 5-6 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 26 | +14.7 |
| Joan Beringer | 22 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 19 | +14.7 |
| Terrence Shannon Jr | 21 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +4.2 |
| Jaylen Clark | 18 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | +16.0 |
| Trey Lyles | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +25.2 |
| Isaiah Evans | 7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2.6 |
| Cody Williams | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1.2 |
* = starter