Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.3% | 25.7% | -9.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 90.1% | 9.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 80.3% | 19.7% | -15.4 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 87.6% | 12.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -11 (112-123). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Dončić * | 32 | 10-25 | 5-12 | 7-10 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 14 | +14.0 |
| Walker Kessler * | 29 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | +11.5 |
| Austin Reaves * | 25 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 18 | +16.5 |
| Matisse Thybulle * | 23 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2.4 |
| Jake LaRavia * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | +8.4 |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 26 | 9-15 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 12 | +15.4 |
| Ziaire Williams | 20 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | +5.1 |
| Adou Thiero | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -14.1 |
| Collin Sexton | 13 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | -2.0 |
| Cameron Carr | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -15.4 |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | +1.4 |
| Jaden Hardy | 4 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -13.1 |
| Kevon Looney | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -13.2 |
| Bronny James | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -13.2 |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro * | 34 | 8-16 | 2-7 | 9-10 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 18 | -6.4 |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 23 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 3 | -14.1 |
| Kel'el Ware * | 22 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -9.7 |
| Brayden Burries * | 22 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | -6.1 |
| Nate Ament * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -13.9 |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 30 | 7-16 | 2-7 | 9-9 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 18 | -5.0 |
| Ryan Rollins | 23 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | -6.5 |
| Jericho Sims | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -0.7 |
| Ousmane Dieng | 17 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | +13.9 |
| AJ Green | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -0.8 |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +11.7 |
| Bogoljub Marković | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +11.9 |
| Pete Nance | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +11.9 |
| Kasparas Jakučionis | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +11.8 |
* = starter