Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.4% | 74.6% | +7.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.9% | 60.1% | +4.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +10 (121-111). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Kuminga * | 39 | 8-19 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 10 | +7.4 |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 38 | 7-17 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | +7.0 |
| Ayo Dosunmu * | 37 | 11-17 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 22 | +7.4 |
| Joan Beringer * | 34 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | -0.8 |
| LaMelo Ball * | 20 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 10 | -4.5 |
| Jaylen Clark | 20 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | +0.5 |
| Terrence Shannon Jr | 18 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -10.8 |
| Trey Lyles | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | -7.3 |
| Bones Hyland | 13 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -8.4 |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Harper * | 38 | 9-17 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 20 | +5.7 |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 34 | 8-10 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 24 | +19.4 |
| Devin Vassell * | 33 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -3.9 |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 33 | 17-34 | 3-8 | 6-9 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 43 | 24 | +9.3 |
| Stephon Castle * | 22 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -4.9 |
| Julian Champagnie | 26 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | +0.8 |
| Keldon Johnson | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +6.6 |
| Luke Kornet | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -1.8 |
| Carter Bryant | 11 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -4.9 |
* = starter