Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.1% | 83.9% | +6.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.5% | 93.5% | +14.6 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +10 (120-110). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson * | 35 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 10-12 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 20 | - |
| CJ McCollum * | 29 | 8-16 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Dyson Daniels * | 28 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 28 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 28 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Aaron Wiggins | 26 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Luguentz Dort | 20 | 4-11 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Kingston Flemings | 18 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jock Landale | 17 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Dorian Finney-Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Asa Newell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Zuby Ejiofor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Corey Kispert | 1 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 38 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 37 | 11-15 | 1-1 | 6-8 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 33 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 29 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 9-10 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 22 | - |
| Fred VanVleet * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Amen Thompson * | 27 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Tari Eason | 32 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Reed Sheppard | 24 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Bogdan Bogdanović | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Clint Capela | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Bruce Thornton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Isaiah Crawford | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter