Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.6% | 21.4% | -7.2 | ✗ (15.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 79.5% | 20.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +8 (110-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 36 | 8-17 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 34 | 8-17 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. * | 23 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Jay Huff * | 22 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 20 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Jarace Walker | 28 | 3-12 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Quenton Jackson | 27 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Obi Toppin | 23 | 6-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 18 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jalen Slawson | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kobe Brown | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Braden Smith | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro * | 32 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 6-10 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 26 | - |
| Ryan Rollins * | 31 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 29 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Myles Turner * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. * | 24 | 4-13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Kasparas Jakučionis | 21 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| AJ Green | 20 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Kel'el Ware | 19 | 7-13 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Brayden Burries | 16 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Nate Ament | 13 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Ousmane Dieng | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter