Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.5% | 69.5% | +2.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 80.9% | 19.1% | -7.9 | ✗ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets +5 (115-110). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 38 | 7-17 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Davion Mitchell * | 37 | 8-13 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Klay Thompson * | 26 | 5-12 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 24 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Pelle Larsson | 36 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Bobby Portis Jr. | 26 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 21 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Nikola Jović | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Conwell | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naz Reid * | 37 | 9-16 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Dennis Schröder * | 37 | 8-17 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 14 | - |
| Brandon Miller * | 36 | 10-29 | 3-10 | 11-12 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 34 | 13 | - |
| Sion James * | 26 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Moussa Diabaté * | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Grayson Allen | 34 | 6-12 | 4-10 | 4-5 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Ryan Kalkbrenner | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Royce O'Neale | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tidjane Salaün | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Christian Anderson | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter