Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.2% | 68.8% | +4.4 | ✗ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -3 (120-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 35 | 13-23 | 1-3 | 3-8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 15 | - |
| Ivica Zubac * | 33 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 33 | 6-10 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 33 | 8-15 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Obi Toppin | 24 | 7-12 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Jarace Walker | 18 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Quenton Jackson | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Ben Sheppard | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 34 | 9-18 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Zion Williamson * | 32 | 7-16 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Trey Murphy III * | 31 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Yves Missi * | 29 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 30 | - |
| Jeremiah Fears * | 20 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Saddiq Bey | 23 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Derik Queen | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 17 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Herbert Jones | 16 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Poole | 14 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter