Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.4% | 85.6% | +9.7 | ✓ (28.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.8% | 73.2% | +11.0 | ✓ (27.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +38 (123-85). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Richard * | 30 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | -23.6 |
| Yaxel Lendeborg * | 23 | 1-13 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | -35.5 |
| Brandin Podziemski * | 22 | 2-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | -17.4 |
| De'Anthony Melton * | 18 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | -24.5 |
| Draymond Green * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -18.4 |
| LJ Cryer | 23 | 7-17 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 12 | -8.9 |
| Gui Santos | 21 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | -4.8 |
| Charles Bassey | 20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | -12.2 |
| Georges Niang | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -12.8 |
| Malevy Leons | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -1.0 |
| Graham Ike | 13 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -3.4 |
| Gary Payton II | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +2.1 |
| Al Horford | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.0 |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Harper * | 25 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | +26.7 |
| Stephon Castle * | 25 | 12-18 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 25 | +29.8 |
| Devin Vassell * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +30.2 |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 20 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 20 | +22.1 |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 16 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +16.8 |
| Keldon Johnson | 24 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 4-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | +9.2 |
| Julian Champagnie | 22 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | +15.9 |
| Harrison Barnes | 21 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Carter Bryant | 19 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +1.6 |
| Luke Kornet | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 14 | +10.5 |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | +0.2 |
| Tarris Reed Jr. | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | +1.4 |
* = starter