Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.1% | 29.9% | -4.7 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -4 (110-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 36 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 8-8 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Amen Thompson * | 36 | 9-15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 35 | 10-20 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 21 | - |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 33 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Fred VanVleet * | 31 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Tari Eason | 26 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Marcus Smart | 21 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Steven Adams | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Bogdan Bogdanović | 8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 35 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Dylan Harper * | 35 | 8-15 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 10 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 33 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Stephon Castle * | 32 | 6-15 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 31 | 9-21 | 2-6 | 5-8 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Julian Champagnie | 25 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 19 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Luke Kornet | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Harrison Barnes | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter