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2026-10-23

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 29.2% 70.8% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 24.3% 75.7% - βœ“
Margin 18.4% 81.6% +8.2 βœ“ (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 39.6% 60.4% - βœ“
Efficiency 31.8% 68.2% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 31.9% 68.1% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 32.0% 68.0% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 33.2% 66.8% - βœ“

Actual: Boston Celtics +4 (107-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Karl-Anthony Towns * 37 9-13 2-3 2-3 10 3 0 0 4 22 18 -
Jalen Brunson * 37 7-17 2-5 3-6 2 4 0 2 3 19 7 -
Josh Hart * 36 4-12 2-7 0-0 12 5 3 0 0 10 18 -
OG Anunoby * 33 5-11 2-6 8-10 10 8 0 0 3 20 24 -
Mikal Bridges * 21 0-8 0-5 0-0 1 4 1 0 1 0 -3 -
Miles McBride 30 6-9 6-8 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 20 15 -
Landry Shamet 21 3-6 2-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 8 2 -
Jose Alvarado 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 2 2 -
Andre Drummond 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Jordan Clarkson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
James Wiseman 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 36 14-26 3-10 5-5 9 7 3 0 2 36 27 -
Derrick White * 33 5-11 2-6 0-0 4 6 1 0 1 12 11 -
Paul George * 33 6-15 3-7 0-0 7 2 2 0 1 15 10 -
Mitchell Robinson * 22 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 1 0 4 7 -
Jordan Walsh * 20 2-5 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
Payton Pritchard 30 1-5 1-3 1-2 1 4 0 0 2 4 2 -
Neemias Queta 22 4-8 1-1 6-9 6 1 0 3 2 15 15 -
Sam Hauser 22 2-5 2-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 6 5 -
Baylor Scheierman 11 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -3 -
Luka Garza 3 3-3 2-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 8 7 -
Hugo GonzΓ‘lez 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter