Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | β |
| Margin | 10.6% | 89.4% | +11.7 | β (15.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | β |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -4 (97-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiah Fears * | 20 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 19 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Derik Queen * | 18 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Saddiq Bey * | 17 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Karlo MatkoviΔ * | 17 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Yves Missi * | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Zion Williamson | 18 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Trey Murphy III | 18 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Poole | 17 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Herbert Jones | 15 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Jaron Pierre Jr. | 12 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Trendon Watford | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | - |
| AJ Johnson | 6 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jalon Moore | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Julian Reese | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Malik Dia | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Bryce McGowens | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Kobe Bufkin | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaccharie Risacher * | 23 | 3-11 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| P.J. Washington * | 16 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Moussa Cisse * | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Max Christie * | 14 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Naji Marshall * | 14 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Sergio de Larrea | 30 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Tarik Biberovic | 26 | 3-12 | 1-9 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| John Poulakidas | 25 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Tobi Lawal | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Seth Lundy | 21 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Caleb Martin | 15 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jorge Diaz-Graham | 12 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
* = starter