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2026-10-08

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 16.5% 83.5% +6.4 ✓ (2.4 off)
Bradley-Terry 13.6% 86.4% - ✓
Margin 5.4% 94.6% +15.8 ✓ (11.8 off)
Pythagorean 21.8% 78.2% - ✓
Efficiency 1.5% 98.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 12.0% 88.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 12.0% 88.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 18.0% 82.0% - ✓

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +4 (114-110). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Precious Achiuwa * 24 9-13 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 0 1 18 13 -
Darius Acuff Jr. * 23 4-15 2-7 2-2 0 1 2 1 3 12 -2 -
Maxime Raynaud * 23 5-8 0-1 3-4 10 2 0 2 4 13 15 -
Zach LaVine * 22 3-8 0-2 5-5 1 4 4 0 0 11 12 -
De'Andre Hunter * 18 1-6 0-3 1-1 4 0 2 0 5 3 -2 -
Emanuel Sharp 21 3-9 3-9 2-5 3 1 2 0 0 11 8 -
Jonathan Mogbo 21 5-7 0-1 2-4 7 3 2 0 2 12 15 -
Alex Karaban 20 2-3 2-2 1-1 3 2 1 0 2 7 8 -
Nique Clifford 12 2-7 0-1 0-0 2 6 2 0 1 4 6 -
Dylan Cardwell 11 0-0 0-0 0-2 7 2 0 0 2 0 7 -
Daeqwon Plowden 11 6-10 3-6 0-0 0 1 1 2 1 15 8 -
Elfrid Payton 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 2 0 3 -
Leaky Black 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 4 5 -
Adam Flagler 8 0-4 0-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -5 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Quentin Grimes * 28 4-8 2-4 2-2 0 0 2 0 6 12 0 -
Luka Dončić * 25 6-16 2-6 9-9 3 3 1 0 5 23 9 -
Austin Reaves * 24 2-7 0-3 4-4 5 8 1 0 3 8 12 -
Adou Thiero * 21 3-7 0-1 0-0 3 1 2 2 0 6 7 -
Kevon Looney * 17 1-2 0-0 2-4 5 1 0 1 0 4 9 -
Jake LaRavia 24 6-9 3-6 2-4 4 3 1 1 1 17 16 -
Bronny James 22 1-3 0-2 2-2 4 6 1 0 4 4 8 -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 21 7-10 3-6 2-2 3 4 1 1 2 19 16 -
Matisse Thybulle 20 1-4 1-4 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 3 5 -
Jaden Hardy 9 1-3 0-1 4-6 0 0 1 0 1 6 3 -
Jarred Vanderbilt 8 2-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 1 4 8 -
Chris Mañon 5 0-2 0-0 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
AK Okereke 4 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
William Kyle 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 2 0 -
Cole Swider 3 0-2 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -1 -

* = starter