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2026-10-07

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 50.6% 49.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 59.3% 40.7% - โœ—
Margin 98.9% 1.1% -24.5 โœ— (35.5 off)
Pythagorean 69.7% 30.3% - โœ—
Efficiency 95.6% 4.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 89.8% 10.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 89.8% 10.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 81.3% 18.7% - โœ—

Actual: Indiana Pacers +11 (123-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaden McDaniels * 21 6-10 4-6 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 16 10 -
LaMelo Ball * 20 5-9 4-6 0-0 4 7 0 0 5 14 11 -
Anthony Edwards * 19 5-10 4-5 5-6 1 1 0 0 0 19 11 -
Jonathan Kuminga * 18 1-9 0-3 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 2 -2 -
Rudy Gobert * 18 2-3 0-0 3-3 9 2 1 0 2 7 14 -
Joan Beringer 19 1-3 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 1 2 2 6 -
Cody Williams 17 2-7 0-1 2-2 3 1 0 1 1 6 3 -
Ayo Dosunmu 17 3-7 1-4 3-4 1 3 1 0 1 10 7 -
Terrence Shannon Jr 17 2-4 1-1 4-5 1 2 1 0 1 9 8 -
Zyon Pullin 13 3-5 0-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 2 7 3 -
Trey Lyles 11 3-4 2-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 8 10 -
Jaylen Clark 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 2 0 1 -
Bones Hyland 10 3-7 3-6 1-1 0 1 1 1 1 10 5 -
Enrique Freeman 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 2 1 0 1 -
Isaiah Evans 7 1-5 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 -2 -
Norchad Omier 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 19 5-8 0-2 0-0 2 3 1 2 1 10 9 -
Ivica Zubac * 17 3-7 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 3 6 2 -
Andrew Nembhard * 16 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 4 2 -
Tyrese Haliburton * 16 3-8 1-3 0-0 0 6 1 2 1 7 7 -
Jay Huff * 16 6-11 2-4 2-2 4 4 1 1 2 16 13 -
Aaron Nesmith * 15 7-9 4-6 1-1 0 0 0 0 0 19 10 -
Jarace Walker 28 3-6 1-2 0-1 5 10 0 0 1 7 15 -
Ben Sheppard 22 4-9 3-5 2-2 5 0 2 0 1 13 10 -
Jalen Slawson 18 1-4 0-0 2-2 5 1 2 2 2 4 8 -
Kobe Brown 16 2-5 1-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 5 4 -
Braden Smith 14 1-4 1-1 0-0 5 5 0 0 1 3 8 -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 10 1-1 1-1 2-2 1 2 2 0 2 5 7 -
Obi Toppin 10 4-5 1-2 1-1 2 1 1 1 2 10 8 -
Quenton Jackson 9 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 5 4 -
Rienk Mast 5 2-4 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 5 5 -
Keba Keita 2 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -

* = starter