Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.2% | 53.8% | -0.2 | ✗ (17.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.9% | 32.1% | -4.1 | ✓ (13.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -18 (117-135). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred VanVleet * | 24 | 5-12 | 5-12 | 2-3 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 23 | 7-12 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Amen Thompson * | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 21 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 21 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 25 | - |
| Steven Adams * | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Tari Eason | 23 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 6-7 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Reed Sheppard | 18 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Bogdan Bogdanović | 15 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Oscar Tshiebwe | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Isaiah Crawford | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Bruce Thornton | 8 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Quadir Copeland | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Julian Phillips | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sean Pedulla | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naji Marshall * | 24 | 7-14 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Max Christie * | 24 | 5-12 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Zaccharie Risacher * | 23 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Cooper Flagg * | 19 | 7-14 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Moussa Cisse * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Morez Johnson Jr. * | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Sergio de Larrea | 24 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Tarik Biberovic | 18 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Tobi Lawal | 15 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Jett Howard | 15 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Seth Lundy | 13 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - |
| John Poulakidas | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Daniel Gafford | 8 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
* = starter