Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.4% | 67.6% | +4.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +10 (128-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yves Missi * | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Jeremiah Fears * | 19 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Zion Williamson * | 16 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Derik Queen * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 14 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Trey Murphy III * | 13 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Bryce McGowens | 19 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | - |
| Saddiq Bey | 16 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Trendon Watford | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Caleb Houstan | 15 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Poole | 13 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Jaron Pierre Jr. | 13 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Karlo Matković | 12 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Kobe Bufkin | 11 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Herbert Jones | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Malik Dia | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Christian Koloko | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Julian Reese | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion Mitchell * | 20 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 17 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Bam Adebayo * | 16 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 15 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Klay Thompson * | 14 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Nick Richards * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Nikola Jović | 20 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 19 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Bobby Portis Jr. | 19 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Simone Fontecchio | 14 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Tre Donaldson | 14 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Myron Gardner | 14 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Ryan Conwell | 14 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J'Vonne Hadley | 12 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Ian Schieffelin | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter