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Stat models: Threes Box Elo

Net made-three Box Elo from threes created plus threes prevented. An on-floor team-rate impact: how the team's rate of this event moves with the player on the floor, adjusted for everyone else there. It is not the player's own count.

Box form. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play.

Family Lineup RAPM Box Elo Box Elo sides
Points Points Lineup RAPM (RAPM Overall) Points Box Elo offense · defense
Threes not published for 2018-2019 Threes Box Elo offense · defense
Assists not published for 2018-2019 Assists Box Elo offense · defense
OReb not published for 2018-2019 OReb Box Elo
DReb not published for 2018-2019 DReb Box Elo
Stocks not published for 2018-2019 Stocks Box Elo offense · defense
Turnovers not published for 2018-2019 Turnovers Box Elo ball security · forcing

Each family is shown in every form its season publishes, side by side: Lineup forms read on-court possessions from play-by-play, Box forms read game team totals spread by minutes, so they cannot separate teammates and are meant for seasons without play-by-play; RAPM is one regularized regression over the season, Elo online game-by-game updates. The Lineup form opens by default where the season has one. A season's held-out comparison of the two is information below, never a switch.

All columns in the players browser

2,871 player-seasons with a Threes Box Elo rating and at least 500 possessions. Seasons that do not publish this form have no row here.

# Player Team Conf GP MPG Poss 3s Box Elo
1 Adrianna Hahn Villanova Big East 30 33.3 2,589 11.4
2 Mary Gedaka Villanova Big East 30 34.2 2,591 11.2
3 Keri Jewett-Giles Florida Gulf Coast ASUN 27 27.6 1,941 10.8
4 Nasrin Ulel Florida Gulf Coast ASUN 28 31.4 2,302 10.7
5 Kelly Jekot Villanova Big East 28 34.8 2,594 10.7
6 Jannah Tucker Villanova Big East 29 32.7 2,435 9.7
7 Taylor Pierce Idaho Big Sky 32 36.8 3,160 9.6
8 Bre Cavanaugh Fordham A-10 33 38.0 2,738 9.6
9 Tytionia Adderly Florida Gulf Coast ASUN 28 26.5 1,890 9.2
10 Lauren Holden Fordham A-10 33 38.5 2,785 9.1
11 Destiny Washington Florida Gulf Coast ASUN 26 24.3 1,689 9.0
12 Mary Goulding Fordham A-10 32 35.4 2,493 8.7
13 Mikayla Ferenz Idaho Big Sky 32 36.2 3,145 8.6
14 Kendell Heremaia Fordham A-10 33 28.4 2,068 7.3
15 Ashton Millender DePaul Big East 33 31.8 3,115 6.7
16 Regan Magarity Virginia Tech ACC 31 35.3 3,505 6.6
17 Katie Benzan Harvard Crimson Ivy 30 34.6 2,012 6.5
18 Gina Marxen Idaho Big Sky 32 32.6 2,890 6.5
19 Tanita Allen DePaul Big East 30 17.2 1,529 6.5
20 Jenny Roy Belmont OVC 30 33.8 2,933 6.4
21 Emily Esposito Villanova Big East 30 18.4 1,417 6.4
22 Natalie Klinker Idaho Big Sky 32 23.6 1,920 6.3
23 Chante Stonewall DePaul Big East 33 30.3 3,071 6.3
24 Sabrina Ionescu Oregon Pac-12 37 36.3 4,094 6.2
25 Taylor Emery Virginia Tech ACC 31 34.4 3,445 6.2
26 Lisa Zderadicka Florida Gulf Coast ASUN 21 27.9 1,600 6.1
27 Savannah Smith Northern Colorado Big Sky 29 36.1 2,822 6.0
28 Ruthy Hebard Oregon Pac-12 36 28.9 3,180 6.0
29 Rylie Torrey Oral Roberts Summit 22 28.2 1,776 5.9
30 Hayley Barber Campbell Fighting Camels Big South 34 29.2 2,348 5.9
31 Presley Hudson Central Michigan MAC 29 37.3 3,707 5.9
32 Kendyl Brooks Virginia Tech ACC 31 22.5 2,216 5.9
33 Darby Maggard Belmont OVC 30 34.4 3,021 5.9
34 Kiana Williams Stanford Cardinal Pac-12 36 34.4 3,192 5.8
35 Chandler Ryan Florida Gulf Coast ASUN 27 16.0 1,126 5.8
36 McKenah Peters Youngstown State Horizon 28 32.7 2,196 5.8
37 Lauren Aldridge Missouri SEC 33 31.3 2,673 5.8
38 Sophie Cunningham Missouri SEC 33 34.0 2,980 5.8
39 Kelly Campbell DePaul Big East 32 32.3 3,109 5.8
40 Reyna Frost Central Michigan MAC 29 37.4 3,745 5.8
41 Rachael Childress UAB Blazers C-USA 30 31.7 2,161 5.8
42 Lakota Beatty Oral Roberts Summit 25 32.5 2,309 5.8
43 Parise Rossignol Maine Black Bears America East 30 31.1 2,103 5.8
44 Trinity Baptiste Virginia Tech ACC 31 27.8 2,779 5.7
45 Davion Wingate Florida Gulf Coast ASUN 27 15.7 1,067 5.6
46 Kristalyn Baisden Saint Joseph's A-10 28 29.7 2,055 5.6
47 Shania Johnson Stony Brook America East 29 36.4 528 5.5
48 Dor Saar Maine Black Bears America East 30 34.8 2,358 5.5
49 Maite Cazorla Oregon Pac-12 37 33.6 3,809 5.4
50 Alison Smolinski Youngstown State Horizon 28 31.7 2,196 5.4

Threes: Box vs Lineup, NCAAW 2018-2019

Threes Lineup RAPM Threes Box Elo
Players rated (at least 300 possessions) not published 3,189
Held-out correlation with the segment margin - -
Share of rating variance explained by team - 0.79 (chance 0.10, 3189 players)

No held-out comparison is recorded for threes in 2018-2019. Team share: from this page's rows (team of the season); a Box form near its team's share cannot tell teammates apart.

No scatter: Threes Lineup RAPM is not published for 2018-2019.

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