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Stat models: Threes Lineup RAPM

Ridge-regularized lineup regression of made threes per 100 possessions. An on-floor team-rate impact: how the team's rate of this event moves with the player on the floor, adjusted for everyone else there. It is not the player's own count.

Family Lineup RAPM Box Elo Box Elo sides
Points Points Lineup RAPM (RAPM Overall) Points Box Elo offense · defense
Threes Threes Lineup RAPM not published for 2014-2015 offense · defense
Assists Assists Lineup RAPM not published for 2014-2015 offense · defense
OReb not published for 2014-2015 OReb Box Elo
DReb DReb Lineup RAPM not published for 2014-2015
Stocks not published for 2014-2015 Stocks Box Elo offense · defense
Turnovers not published for 2014-2015 Turnovers Box Elo ball security · forcing

Each family is shown in every form its season publishes, side by side: Lineup forms read on-court possessions from play-by-play, Box forms read game team totals spread by minutes, so they cannot separate teammates and are meant for seasons without play-by-play; RAPM is one regularized regression over the season, Elo online game-by-game updates. The Lineup form opens by default where the season has one. A season's held-out comparison of the two is information below, never a switch.

All columns in the players browser

3,112 player-seasons with a Threes Lineup RAPM rating and at least 500 possessions. Seasons that do not publish this form have no row here.

# Player Team Conf GP MPG Poss 3s Lineup RAPM
1 Derrick Marks Boise State Mountain West 31 31.2 2,649 0.8
2 Nick Duncan Boise State Mountain West 32 31.4 2,615 0.7
3 Peyton Aldridge Davidson A-10 32 30.4 2,038 0.7
4 Tyler Kalinoski Davidson A-10 32 34.8 2,355 0.7
5 Brian Sullivan Davidson A-10 32 33.3 2,217 0.7
6 James McGee Southern Utah Big Sky 26 17.1 1,191 0.7
7 James Webb III Boise State Mountain West 31 27.9 2,342 0.7
8 T.J. Cline Richmond A-10 35 23.2 1,940 0.6
9 Jacob Parker Stephen F. Austin Southland 34 27.1 2,026 0.6
10 Jalen Nesbitt North Florida ASUN 34 32.4 2,776 0.6
11 Treveon Graham VCU A-10 32 29.5 2,272 0.6
12 Eric Robertson Chattanooga Southern 31 21.3 1,671 0.6
13 Tim Marshall VMI Southern 29 22.2 1,522 0.6
14 Ibn Muhammad Iona MAAC 35 18.2 1,798 0.6
15 Sam Dekker Wisconsin Big Ten 40 31.0 2,866 0.6
16 Beau Beech North Florida ASUN 34 30.4 2,698 0.6
17 Ryan Arcidiacono Villanova Big East 36 30.4 3,140 0.6
18 Darrun Hilliard Villanova Big East 35 28.8 2,961 0.6
19 Emmett Naar Saint Mary's WCC 30 28.0 2,060 0.5
20 Isaac Cohen Columbia Ivy 27 28.3 1,947 0.5
21 Nick Zeisloft Indiana Big Ten 33 19.6 1,704 0.5
22 Shane Richards Manhattan MAAC 32 32.5 2,646 0.5
23 Tanner Plomb Army Black Patriot 30 28.2 1,683 0.5
24 A.J. English Iona MAAC 34 37.4 3,376 0.5
25 Maodo Lo Columbia Ivy 27 34.1 2,310 0.5
26 Austin Tillotson Colgate Patriot 31 33.6 2,472 0.5
27 Juan'Ya Green Hofstra CAA 33 36.5 3,623 0.5
28 Kris Brewer Kent State MAC 33 29.3 2,485 0.5
29 Bronson Koenig Wisconsin Big Ten 40 28.8 2,716 0.5
30 Caleb Martin NC State ACC 36 16.6 1,370 0.5
31 Tyler Ulis Kentucky - - - 2,352 0.5
32 Kevin Yogi Ferrell Indiana Big Ten 33 35.0 2,949 0.5
33 Jonathan Gilling Arizona State - 34 20.7 1,617 0.5
34 Denzel Valentine Michigan State Big Ten 38 33.2 3,553 0.5
35 Craig Bradshaw Belmont OVC 30 31.7 2,539 0.5
36 Brandon Taylor Utah Pac-12 35 30.2 2,134 0.5
37 Will Cummings Temple American 36 34.0 3,352 0.5
38 Matt Costello Michigan State Big Ten 38 20.5 2,171 0.5
39 Julian Eleby VMI Southern 27 25.3 1,510 0.5
40 Christopher Anderson San Diego WCC 30 32.4 1,862 0.5
41 Lester Wilson East Tennessee State Southern 29 27.8 2,348 0.5
42 Karl Cochran Wofford Southern 35 31.1 2,399 0.5
43 Derek Jackson Kent State MAC 33 34.7 2,899 0.5
44 Nate Sikma Hartford Hawks America East 30 18.4 929 0.5
45 Nick Norton UAB - 34 27.0 2,553 0.5
46 Briante Weber VCU A-10 19 26.7 1,219 0.5
47 Justin Massey Florida Atlantic C-USA 27 25.6 1,473 0.5
48 Phil Booth Villanova Big East 36 14.5 1,469 0.5
49 Christian Kessee Coppin State MEAC 30 23.5 1,657 0.5
50 Ahmad Starks Illinois Big Ten 33 24.1 2,028 0.5

Threes: Box vs Lineup, NCAAM 2014-2015

Threes Lineup RAPM Threes Box Elo
Players rated (at least 300 possessions) 3,449 not published
Held-out correlation with the segment margin 0.091 0.078
Share of rating variance explained by team 0.37 (chance 0.11, 3449 players) -

Held-out: Lineup minus Box +0.012, paired SE 0.0027 (+4.6 SE), on 58,595 held-out segments (rule two_paired_se/v1). Team share: from this page's rows (team of the season); a Box form near its team's share cannot tell teammates apart.

No scatter: Threes Box Elo is not published for 2014-2015.

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