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Stat models: Threes Box Elo

Net made-three Box Elo from threes created plus threes prevented. An on-floor team-rate impact: how the team's rate of this event moves with the player on the floor, adjusted for everyone else there. It is not the player's own count.

Box form. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play.

Family Lineup RAPM Box Elo Box Elo sides
Points Points Lineup RAPM (RAPM Overall) Points Box Elo offense · defense
Threes not published for 2016-2017 Threes Box Elo offense · defense
Assists not published for 2016-2017 Assists Box Elo offense · defense
OReb not published for 2016-2017 OReb Box Elo
DReb not published for 2016-2017 DReb Box Elo
Stocks not published for 2016-2017 Stocks Box Elo offense · defense
Turnovers not published for 2016-2017 Turnovers Box Elo ball security · forcing

Each family is shown in every form its season publishes, side by side: Lineup forms read on-court possessions from play-by-play, Box forms read game team totals spread by minutes, so they cannot separate teammates and are meant for seasons without play-by-play; RAPM is one regularized regression over the season, Elo online game-by-game updates. The Lineup form opens by default where the season has one. A season's held-out comparison of the two is information below, never a switch.

All columns in the players browser

3,001 player-seasons with a Threes Box Elo rating and at least 500 possessions. Seasons that do not publish this form have no row here.

# Player Team Conf GP MPG Poss 3s Box Elo
1 Grayson Allen Duke ACC 33 29.8 2,803 8.7
2 Joe Rahon Saint Mary's WCC 33 36.6 1,073 8.6
3 Zak Irvin Michigan Big Ten 31 35.5 1,456 7.9
4 Derrick Walton Jr. Michigan Big Ten 31 35.3 1,420 7.9
5 Emmett Naar Saint Mary's WCC 33 32.8 1,043 7.8
6 Muhammad-Ali Abdur-Rahkman Michigan Big Ten 31 31.3 1,271 7.7
7 Jeff Roberson Vanderbilt SEC 27 32.1 3,409 7.6
8 Luke Kornet Vanderbilt SEC 27 31.4 3,314 7.5
9 Jock Landale Saint Mary's WCC 33 28.2 835 7.1
10 Matthew Fisher-Davis Vanderbilt SEC 26 28.0 2,822 7.1
11 Jared Brownridge Santa Clara WCC 19 36.6 3,259 7.0
12 Riley LaChance Vanderbilt SEC 27 30.4 3,353 7.0
13 Spencer Weisz Princeton Ivy 22 32.8 2,756 7.0
14 Matt Hauser Santa Clara WCC 18 36.1 2,901 7.0
15 Devin Cannady Princeton Ivy 22 30.9 2,627 7.0
16 Nate Kratch Santa Clara WCC 19 32.7 3,002 6.9
17 Calvin Hermanson Saint Mary's WCC 33 28.5 921 6.8
18 Luke Kennard Duke ACC 36 35.7 3,608 6.7
19 Steven Cook Princeton Ivy 22 30.2 2,489 6.7
20 Eric Garcia Wofford Southern 21 31.7 2,865 6.4
21 Fletcher Magee Wofford Southern 21 31.6 2,845 6.2
22 Chris Flemmings UNC Wilmington Seahawks CAA 18 36.6 3,678 6.2
23 D.J. Wilson Michigan Big Ten 31 30.3 1,183 6.0
24 Jon Elmore Marshall Thundering Herd C-USA 22 34.5 3,424 5.9
25 Sam Hauser Marquette Golden Big East 22 27.2 2,101 5.9
26 Stevie Browning Marshall Thundering Herd C-USA 22 31.7 3,022 5.9
27 Ryan Sawvell Wofford Southern 21 27.7 2,571 5.8
28 Matt Jones Duke ACC 36 33.0 3,295 5.7
29 Amile Jefferson Duke ACC 34 29.9 2,787 5.6
30 Nazareth Mitrou-Long Iowa State Big 12 26 32.9 2,043 5.6
31 Andrew Rowsey Marquette Golden Big East 22 21.6 1,664 5.6
32 Myles Stephens Princeton Ivy 22 26.6 2,292 5.6
33 Kevaughn Allen Florida SEC 34 28.5 2,398 5.5
34 Ryan Taylor Marshall Thundering Herd C-USA 19 27.6 2,488 5.5
35 Warren Sledge The Citadel Southern 19 29.7 2,267 5.5
36 Denzel Ingram UNC Wilmington Seahawks CAA 18 32.4 3,593 5.5
37 C.J. Bryce UNC Wilmington Seahawks CAA 18 33.9 3,687 5.5
38 Austin Loop Marshall Thundering Herd C-USA 22 30.2 2,978 5.5
39 Zach Thomas Bucknell Patriot 25 29.9 3,138 5.4
40 Monté Morris Iowa State Big 12 26 34.7 2,128 5.3
41 Kimbal Mackenzie Bucknell Patriot 25 29.7 3,174 5.3
42 Chris Sengfelder Fordham A-10 19 31.2 3,061 5.3
43 Payton Willis Vanderbilt SEC 27 18.2 1,709 5.3
44 Antwoine Anderson Fordham A-10 19 32.7 3,126 5.2
45 Stephen Brown Bucknell Patriot 25 29.8 3,110 5.2
46 Jason McManamen Wyoming Cowboys Mountain West 27 32.6 3,517 5.2
47 Hayden Dalton Wyoming Cowboys Mountain West 27 27.6 3,121 5.1
48 Alan Herndon Wyoming Cowboys Mountain West 27 30.8 3,531 5.1
49 Frank Jackson Duke ACC 35 24.9 2,487 5.1
50 Frankie Johnson The Citadel Southern 19 24.5 1,949 5.0

Threes: Box vs Lineup, NCAAM 2016-2017

Threes Lineup RAPM Threes Box Elo
Players rated (at least 300 possessions) not published 3,272
Held-out correlation with the segment margin - -
Share of rating variance explained by team - 0.78 (chance 0.10, 3272 players)

No held-out comparison is recorded for threes in 2016-2017. Team share: from this page's rows (team of the season); a Box form near its team's share cannot tell teammates apart.

No scatter: Threes Lineup RAPM is not published for 2016-2017.

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