Model Predictions
| Model | Georgia State Panthers | Buffalo Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.1% | 79.9% | +7.1 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.5% | 63.5% | +6.1 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Buffalo Bulls +1 (82-81). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Lanier * | 40 | 12-18 | 1-4 | 7-9 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 21 | - |
| Kenaya Klintman * | 36 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -11.5 |
| Aryelle Stevens * | 26 | 7-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | +7.9 |
| Ana Oliveira Dias * | 26 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 13 | +9.1 |
| Aaliyah Baldwin * | 20 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | +0.1 |
| Danaeja Romero Ah Sam | 24 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | -0.6 |
| Mariah Knight | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3.9 |
| Makennah Alexis | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -6.4 |
| Aikaterini Yfantopoulou | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.1 |
| Jada Collins | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8.0 |
Buffalo Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meg Lucas * | 37 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 17 | - |
| Ella Corry * | 33 | 7-9 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Asia Wilson * | 32 | 5-13 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Briana Young * | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | +2.1 |
| Ava LaMonica * | 27 | 9-14 | 2-2 | 7-8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 27 | 11 | -7.3 |
| Ella Wickstrom | 25 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | +11.4 |
| Jadeah Marshall | 17 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 5 | -0.3 |
* = starter