Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville P... | Middle Tenne... | Spread | Projected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo
2026-27 ratings to date
|
24.3% (#237) | 75.7% (#163) | Middle ... -6.7 | 72-78 |
| Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
|
14.4% (#243) | 85.6% (#167) | - | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
16.9% (#233) | 83.1% (#171) | - | - |
| Margin
2026-27 ratings to date
|
30.2% (#266) | 69.8% (#236) | Middle ... -9.2 | - |
| Margin Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
30.5% (#265) | 69.5% (#240) | Middle ... -9.0 | - |
| Pythagorean
2026-27 ratings to date
|
77.6% (#187) | 22.4% (#316) | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
52.9% (#220) | 47.1% (#254) | - | - |
| Log Adjusted
2026-27 ratings to date
|
53.3% (#220) | 46.7% (#257) | - | - |
| Points Off/Def
2026-27 ratings to date
|
22.1% (#269) | 77.9% (#230) | - | - |
| Points Off/Def Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
23.9% (#273) | 76.1% (#256) | - | - |
| Core Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
|
39.5% (#238) | 60.5% (#228) | - | - |
| Recency Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
|
40.0% (#237) | 60.0% (#229) | - | - |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
|
40.4% (#228) | 59.6% (#171) | - | - |
| Adjusted Context Blend | Prior-only ranking with no forecast | |||
2026-27 ratings to date: Spread: 4.6 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.3-point home edge (2025-26 margin fit); projected score: 2025-26's average total of 150 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.
Team Stats Comparison
| Stat | Evansville P... | Middle Tenne... |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | 2 |
| PPG | 79.0 | 81.0 |
| FG% | 41.9% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 37.1% |
| FT% | 65.9% | 67.7% |
| RPG | 37.5 | 41.0 |
| APG | 18.5 | 17.5 |
| SPG | 7.0 | 9.0 |
| BPG | 5.5 | 4.5 |
| TOPG | 7.5 | 13.0 |
Efficiency Ratings
| Metric | Evansville P... | Middle Tenne... |
|---|---|---|
| Adj. Off Eff | 98.7 | 90.8 |
| Adj. Def Eff | 101.3 | 109.2 |
| Adj. Net Eff | -2.6 | -18.4 |
Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength
Evansville Purple Aces Top Players
| Player | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | MPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Casey | 19.0 | 8.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 36.5 |
| Bryce Quinet | 16.5 | 2.5 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 36.0 |
| Makuei Riek | 8.0 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 30.0 |
| Max Langenfeld | 10.0 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 28.5 |
| Caden Symons | 8.5 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 26.5 |
Middle Tennessee ... Top Players
| Player | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | MPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahvin Carter | 11.5 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 31.5 |
| Marcus Whitlock Jr. | 12.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 27.0 |
| Quintero Barnett | 14.0 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 27.0 |
| Landyn Colyer | 6.0 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 19.5 |
| Eli Rice | 9.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 19.0 |