Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Asheville Bulldogs | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.3% | 90.7% | +15.2 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.1% | 73.9% | +11.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs +10 (50-40). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UNC Asheville Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaNicia Parker * | 38 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Niyonna Asbelle * | 32 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Dariasia Pitts * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Jamaria Freeman * | 24 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -5 | - |
| Olivia Johnson * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Amaya Shaw | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Tre'Miyah Berry | 23 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Sophia Ross | 21 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -7 | - |
| Mercy Wamet | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Briana Rivera * | 38 | 4-15 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Makayla Roberson * | 34 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Kaylee Yarbrough * | 24 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Kayte-Madison Bjornstad * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Francie Morris * | 22 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Natalie Barnes | 19 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Carla Baguda | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | - |
| Avary Brewer | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Bailey Hape | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter