Model Predictions
| Model | Georgia State Panthers | UNC Asheville Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.6% | 73.4% | +3.8 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.9% | 58.1% | +3.6 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNC Asheville Bulldogs +10 (66-56). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaliyah Baldwin * | 38 | 2-9 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 0 | -3.9 |
| Grace Lanier * | 35 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Kenaya Klintman * | 35 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -3.8 |
| Ana Oliveira Dias * | 32 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 6 | -16.7 |
| Aryelle Stevens * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -5.9 |
| Danaeja Romero Ah Sam | 20 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | -9.0 |
| Mariah Knight | 10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -8.7 |
| Jada Collins | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +7.1 |
| Makennah Alexis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.2 |
UNC Asheville Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dariasia Pitts * | 31 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | -1.5 |
| Jamaria Freeman * | 31 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 7 | - |
| LaNicia Parker * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7 | +11.6 |
| Niyonna Asbelle * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | -0.2 |
| Olivia Johnson * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +11.0 |
| Tre'Miyah Berry | 23 | 6-9 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | +3.1 |
| Amaya Shaw | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -3.9 |
| Sophia Ross | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -6.8 |
| Riley Milausnic | 8 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | +4.8 |
| Mercy Wamet | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +5.6 |
* = starter