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Model Predictions

Model Kent State G... UNC Wilmingt... Spread Projected
Elo
Preseason estimate, 2026-27 prior
28.3% (#152) 71.7% (#124) UNC Wil... -5.1 73-78
Bradley-Terry
Preseason estimate, 2026-27 prior
39.6% (#135) 60.4% (#119) - -
Margin
Preseason estimate, 2026-27 prior
9.3% (#146) 90.7% (#135) UNC Wil... -12.5 -
Pythagorean
Preseason estimate, 2026-27 prior
41.9% (#163) 58.1% (#137) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
Preseason estimate, 2026-27 prior
44.8% (#147) 55.2% (#132) - -
Log Adjusted
Preseason estimate, 2026-27 prior
44.8% (#146) 55.2% (#132) - -
Points Off/Def
Preseason estimate, 2026-27 prior
46.0% (#138) 54.0% (#131) - -

Preseason estimate, 2026-27 prior: each team's 2026-27 Elo start (its stored preseason prior, else last season's rating carried over), the rating the season's rankings use. Spread: 4.6 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.3-point home edge (2025-26 margin fit); projected score: 2025-26's average total of 150 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Kent State G... UNC Wilmingt...
Games 2 1
PPG 88.5 101.0
FG% 46.4% 44.0%
3PT% 28.6% 33.3%
FT% 70.2% 72.7%
RPG 45.0 58.0
APG 15.0 17.0
SPG 9.5 11.0
BPG 1.5 4.0
TOPG 10.0 14.0

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Kent State G... UNC Wilmingt...
Adj. Off Eff 97.9 -
Adj. Def Eff 102.1 -
Adj. Net Eff -4.2 -

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Kent State Golden Flashes Top Players

No player data available

UNC Wilmington Seahawks Top Players

No player data available