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Model Predictions

Model Western Kent... Tennessee Te... Spread Projected
Elo
2026-27 ratings to date
56.7% (#136) 43.3% (#226) Western... -4.4 77-73
Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
28.5% (#137) 71.5% (#233) - -
Bradley-Terry Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
23.9% (#137) 76.1% (#234) - -
Margin
2026-27 ratings to date
23.4% (#220) 76.6% (#144) Tenness... -13.1 -
Margin Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
23.0% (#222) 77.0% (#144) Tenness... -13.3 -
Pythagorean
2026-27 ratings to date
85.0% (#106) 15.0% (#245) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2026-27 ratings to date
60.1% (#130) 39.9% (#190) - -
Log Adjusted
2026-27 ratings to date
60.0% (#131) 40.0% (#186) - -
Points Off/Def
2026-27 ratings to date
30.0% (#145) 70.0% (#203) - -
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
27.4% (#156) 72.6% (#188) - -
Core Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
48.1% (#142) 51.9% (#191) - -
Recency Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
47.5% (#142) 52.5% (#189) - -
Dynamic Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
57.1% (#135) 42.9% (#232) - -
Adjusted Context BlendPrior-only ranking with no forecast

2026-27 ratings to date: Spread: 4.6 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.3-point home edge (2025-26 margin fit); projected score: 2025-26's average total of 150 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Western Kent... Tennessee Te...
Games 2 2
PPG 82.5 102.5
FG% 42.5% 46.6%
3PT% 35.3% 32.1%
FT% 79.3% 76.3%
RPG 46.5 43.5
APG 18.0 20.5
SPG 14.0 12.5
BPG 3.5 3.5
TOPG 7.5 11.5

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Western Kent... Tennessee Te...
Adj. Off Eff 102.9 100.7
Adj. Def Eff 97.1 99.3
Adj. Net Eff 5.8 1.3

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Western Kentucky ... Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Armelo Boone 9.0 5.5 4.0 3.5 0.0 27.0
Sharron Young 8.0 3.0 5.5 2.0 0.0 25.5
EJ Walker 6.0 5.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 21.5
Teagan Moore 21.5 3.0 2.0 2.5 0.0 21.5
LJ Hackman 4.5 3.0 2.0 1.5 0.0 20.0

Tennessee Tech Go... Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Caleb Sanders 20.0 7.5 3.0 1.5 1.0 27.5
Trent Mosquera 10.0 3.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 25.0
Ty Owens 7.5 1.0 5.5 1.0 0.0 24.0
Caleb Hollenbeck 8.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 22.0
De'Ante Green 17.5 8.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 21.5