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Model Predictions

Model Illinois Sta... Purdue Boilermakers Spread Projected
Elo
2026-27 ratings to date
12.2% (#106) 87.8% (#36) Purdue ... -13.3 68-82
Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
42.9% (#251) 57.1% (#249) - -
Margin
2026-27 ratings to date
5.5% (#63) 94.5% (#69) Purdue ... -15.6 -
Pythagorean
2026-27 ratings to date
51.5% (#136) 48.5% (#141) - -
Efficiency
2026-27 ratings to date
55.1% (#136) 44.9% (#141) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2026-27 ratings to date
49.9% (#136) 50.1% (#141) - -
Log Adjusted
2026-27 ratings to date
49.8% (#136) 50.2% (#141) - -
Points Off/Def
2026-27 ratings to date
44.0% (#64) 56.0% (#69) - -

2026-27 ratings to date: Spread: 4.6 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.3-point home edge (2025-26 margin fit); projected score: 2025-26's average total of 150 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Illinois Sta... Purdue Boilermakers
Games 1 1
PPG 85.0 72.0
FG% 48.3% 47.3%
3PT% 48.1% 23.8%
FT% 69.6% 71.4%
RPG 33.0 31.0
APG 20.0 17.0
SPG 5.0 5.0
BPG - 2.0
TOPG 18.0 10.0

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Illinois Sta... Purdue Boilermakers
Adj. Off Eff 99.0 98.7
Adj. Def Eff 101.0 101.3
Adj. Net Eff -1.9 -2.7

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Illinois State Redbirds Top Players

No player data available

Purdue Boilermakers Top Players

No player data available