Model Predictions
| Model | Wright State Raiders | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Projected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo
2026-27 ratings to date
|
51.4% (#111) | 48.6% (#154) | Wright ... -2.7 | 76-74 |
| Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
|
22.7% (#128) | 77.3% (#155) | - | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
21.7% (#128) | 78.3% (#156) | - | - |
| Margin
2026-27 ratings to date
|
54.5% (#66) | 45.5% (#163) | Wright ... -2.0 | - |
| Margin Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
54.5% (#66) | 45.5% (#164) | Wright ... -2.0 | - |
| Pythagorean
2026-27 ratings to date
|
84.1% (#81) | 15.9% (#172) | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
70.9% (#75) | 29.1% (#163) | - | - |
| Log Adjusted
2026-27 ratings to date
|
71.0% (#75) | 29.0% (#162) | - | - |
| Points Off/Def
2026-27 ratings to date
|
33.9% (#87) | 66.1% (#154) | - | - |
| Points Off/Def Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
33.2% (#73) | 66.8% (#159) | - | - |
| Core Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
|
59.0% (#86) | 41.0% (#156) | - | - |
| Recency Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
|
58.8% (#84) | 41.2% (#156) | - | - |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
|
53.1% (#113) | 46.9% (#156) | - | - |
| Adjusted Context Blend | Prior-only ranking with no forecast | |||
2026-27 ratings to date: Spread: 4.6 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.3-point home edge (2025-26 margin fit); projected score: 2025-26's average total of 150 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.
Team Stats Comparison
| Stat | Wright State Raiders | Samford Bulldogs |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | 2 |
| PPG | 99.5 | 83.0 |
| FG% | 58.2% | 53.4% |
| 3PT% | 39.5% | 28.6% |
| FT% | 83.3% | 83.3% |
| RPG | 40.0 | 30.5 |
| APG | 17.5 | 16.5 |
| SPG | 7.5 | 6.0 |
| BPG | 6.5 | 7.0 |
| TOPG | 12.0 | 9.0 |
Efficiency Ratings
| Metric | Wright State Raiders | Samford Bulldogs |
|---|---|---|
| Adj. Off Eff | 109.7 | 98.5 |
| Adj. Def Eff | 90.3 | 101.5 |
| Adj. Net Eff | 19.3 | -3.1 |
Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength
Wright State Raiders Top Players
| Player | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | MPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominic Pangonis | 21.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 31.0 |
| Chadlyn Traylor | 13.0 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 30.5 |
| C.J. O'Hara | 15.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 26.0 |
| Kellen Pickett | 11.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 24.0 |
| Andrea Holden | 19.5 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 22.0 |
Samford Bulldogs Top Players
| Player | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | MPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Noard | 12.5 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 28.5 |
| Cade Norris | 15.0 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 27.0 |
| Isaiah Campbell-Finch | 10.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 25.0 |
| Ty Davis | 8.0 | 2.5 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 25.0 |
| Will Shaver | 15.5 | 8.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 22.0 |