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Model Predictions

Model Washington S... Duquesne Dukes Spread Projected
Elo
2026-27 ratings to date
17.8% (#241) 82.2% (#131) Duquesne Dukes -9.8 70-80
Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
11.5% (#246) 88.5% (#133) - -
Bradley-Terry Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
13.9% (#278) 86.1% (#135) - -
Margin
2026-27 ratings to date
21.6% (#243) 78.4% (#147) Duquesne Dukes -14.2 -
Margin Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
21.9% (#245) 78.1% (#149) Duquesne Dukes -14.0 -
Pythagorean
2026-27 ratings to date
20.9% (#271) 79.1% (#135) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2026-27 ratings to date
35.3% (#251) 64.7% (#134) - -
Log Adjusted
2026-27 ratings to date
35.2% (#251) 64.8% (#134) - -
Points Off/Def
2026-27 ratings to date
15.7% (#283) 84.3% (#149) - -
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
17.1% (#293) 82.9% (#163) - -
Core Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
25.9% (#260) 74.1% (#136) - -
Recency Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
26.3% (#263) 73.7% (#138) - -
Dynamic Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
32.7% (#246) 67.3% (#132) - -
Adjusted Context BlendPrior-only ranking with no forecast

2026-27 ratings to date: Spread: 4.6 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.3-point home edge (2025-26 margin fit); projected score: 2025-26's average total of 150 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Washington S... Duquesne Dukes
Games 2 2
PPG 66.0 73.0
FG% 39.7% 47.7%
3PT% 34.0% 26.3%
FT% 76.0% 69.6%
RPG 32.5 38.0
APG 13.5 14.5
SPG 7.5 8.5
BPG 1.5 2.0
TOPG 12.5 13.5

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Washington S... Duquesne Dukes
Adj. Off Eff 96.5 101.6
Adj. Def Eff 103.5 98.4
Adj. Net Eff -7.1 3.1

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Washington State Cougars Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Jaylen Harrell 15.5 3.5 2.0 1.5 0.0 28.0
Lazerek Houston 17.0 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.0 25.5
Casey Jones 5.0 2.5 2.0 0.5 0.5 22.0
Ladji Dembele 3.5 3.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 21.5
Sebastian Akins 6.0 2.5 3.0 1.5 0.0 21.0

Duquesne Dukes Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Yoav Berman 18.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 33.0
Kerem Konan 13.5 8.5 2.0 1.0 0.0 29.5
Izaiah Pasha 5.0 3.5 3.0 1.0 0.0 28.0
Arness Lawson 7.0 5.0 0.0 3.0 0.5 27.0
Jake DiMichele 8.5 1.0 2.5 0.5 0.0 19.5