Model Predictions
| Model | North Caroli... | UNC Wilmingt... | Spread | Projected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo
Preseason estimate, 2026-27 prior
|
28.5% (#336) | 71.5% (#331) | UNC Wil... -2.9 | 64-67 |
| Bradley-Terry
Preseason estimate, 2026-27 prior
|
46.6% (#337) | 53.4% (#346) | - | - |
| Margin
Preseason estimate, 2026-27 prior
|
20.8% (#329) | 79.2% (#337) | UNC Wil... -7.4 | - |
| Pythagorean
Preseason estimate, 2026-27 prior
|
18.2% (#350) | 81.8% (#305) | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency
Preseason estimate, 2026-27 prior
|
42.2% (#339) | 57.8% (#317) | - | - |
| Log Adjusted
Preseason estimate, 2026-27 prior
|
41.8% (#338) | 58.2% (#317) | - | - |
| Points Off/Def
Preseason estimate, 2026-27 prior
|
52.0% (#337) | 48.0% (#346) | - | - |
Preseason estimate, 2026-27 prior: each team's 2026-27 Elo start (its stored preseason prior, else last season's rating carried over), the rating the season's rankings use. Spread: 5.2 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.4-point home edge (2025-26 margin fit); projected score: 2025-26's average total of 131 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.
Team Stats Comparison
| Stat | North Caroli... | UNC Wilmingt... |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | 1 |
| PPG | 69.0 | 75.0 |
| FG% | 36.1% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 35.7% |
| FT% | 63.8% | 60.9% |
| RPG | 42.0 | 41.0 |
| APG | 11.5 | 12.0 |
| SPG | 8.5 | 14.0 |
| BPG | 3.0 | 2.0 |
| TOPG | 20.0 | 18.0 |
Efficiency Ratings
| Metric | North Caroli... | UNC Wilmingt... |
|---|---|---|
| Adj. Off Eff | 90.0 | - |
| Adj. Def Eff | 110.0 | - |
| Adj. Net Eff | -20.0 | - |
Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength
North Carolina Ce... Top Players
No player data available
UNC Wilmington Seahawks Top Players
No player data available