Model Predictions
| Model | Yale Bulldogs | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.4% | 90.6% | +15.6 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.6% | 96.4% | +18.1 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UCF Knights +12 (87-75). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
Yale Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Mullin * | 35 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Riley Fox * | 35 | 9-14 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Jack Sullivan * | 31 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Brathwaite * | 31 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Daniel Ogunyemi * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Courtney Wallace | 29 | 6-13 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Connor May | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jonas Oware | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jeannot Basima | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dior Johnson * | 34 | 9-17 | 2-5 | 8-8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 22 | - |
| Arturo Dean * | 28 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Riley Kugel * | 21 | 4-14 | 0-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Isaiah Malone * | 20 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| John Bol * | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Elijah Hulsewe | 20 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Lewis Walker | 18 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Carmelo Pacheco | 15 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Cayden Vasko | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jahda Swann | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jason Asemota | 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Churchill Abass | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mister Dean | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter