Model Predictions
| Model | New Hampshire Wildcats | Rider Broncs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.0% | 55.0% | -0.7 | ✗ (10.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.5% | 53.5% | +0.8 | ✗ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.0% | 9.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.0% | 9.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Rider Broncs -11 (55-66). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
New Hampshire Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Zan * | 34 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8 | +7.6 |
| Tyler Bike * | 33 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | +8.2 |
| Myles Blackley * | 26 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +6.9 |
| John Squire * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -14.3 |
| Drew McKenna * | 19 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 5 | -6.1 |
| Josiah Coleman | 25 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | +0.7 |
| Erik Oliver-Bush | 20 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +0.7 |
| Giannos Xanthopoulos | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 18 | +18.4 |
| Jeremiah Faumuina | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +3.6 |
| Kaleb Myers | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khalil Farmer * | 33 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | -5.8 |
| Ty Bevins * | 30 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -10.2 |
| Bryce Baker * | 30 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | -13.1 |
| Rich Brisco * | 23 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 13 | -8.9 |
| Mark Butler * | 20 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | -15.0 |
| Richie Rosa | 20 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4 | +7.7 |
| Kam Wylie | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +5.9 |
| Horace Simmons Jr. | 11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | +2.0 |
| Stephen Avegah Semey | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +0.0 |
| JJ Washington | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -2.2 |
| Segun Ezekiel Obe | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.3 |
* = starter