Model Predictions
| Model | California Baptist Lancers | Utah Tech Trailblazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.1% | 25.9% | -14.9 | ✓ (12.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 87.9% | 12.1% | -21.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 96.1% | 3.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.6% | 15.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Tech Trailblazers -27 (60-87). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
California Baptist Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Alonso * | 21 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Reyleigh Hess * | 21 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Lauren Olsen * | 20 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Chloe Briggs * | 18 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | +20.2 |
| Spela Brecelj * | 15 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 12 | +18.0 |
| Josie Agnew | 22 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 4 | +18.5 |
| Sienna Grieger | 17 | 4-10 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | +21.1 |
| Bella Klages | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -5.0 |
| Paula Haw | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| McKinley Willardson | 11 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12 | +12.2 |
| Novelle McQuiston | 11 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 2 | -10.8 |
| Marta De La Fuente | 10 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -6.9 |
| Ella Linder | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.8 |
Utah Tech Trailblazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyssa Bowen * | 37 | 6-18 | 4-11 | 4-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 6 | -23.8 |
| Sophia Zufelt * | 32 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -24.0 |
| Kendall Dykstra * | 30 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | -18.0 |
| Savannah Stoker * | 29 | 10-22 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 12 | -17.0 |
| Ava Smith * | 28 | 0-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -19.3 |
| Maia Rhay | 16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -11.8 |
| Eva Woodward | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -13.8 |
| Maci Hess | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -2.7 |
| Gabby Gomez | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +2.9 |
* = starter