Model Predictions
| Model | Eastern Illi... | Saint Louis ... | Spread | Projected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo
2026-27 ratings to date
|
11.3% (#316) | 88.7% (#188) | Saint L... -13.2 | 59-72 |
| Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
|
12.0% (#313) | 88.0% (#171) | - | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
16.8% (#319) | 83.2% (#178) | - | - |
| Margin
2026-27 ratings to date
|
13.1% (#297) | 86.9% (#129) | Saint L... -20.8 | - |
| Margin Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
13.4% (#299) | 86.6% (#128) | Saint L... -20.5 | - |
| Pythagorean
2026-27 ratings to date
|
3.6% (#334) | 96.4% (#146) | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
14.1% (#343) | 85.9% (#155) | - | - |
| Log Adjusted
2026-27 ratings to date
|
13.7% (#344) | 86.3% (#155) | - | - |
| Points Off/Def
2026-27 ratings to date
|
11.0% (#303) | 89.0% (#134) | - | - |
| Points Off/Def Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
12.6% (#307) | 87.4% (#129) | - | - |
| Core Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
|
15.5% (#321) | 84.5% (#150) | - | - |
| Recency Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
|
15.9% (#322) | 84.1% (#148) | - | - |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
|
27.1% (#320) | 72.9% (#176) | - | - |
| Adjusted Context Blend
2026-27 ratings to date
|
9.2% (#321) | 90.8% (#165) | - | - |
2026-27 ratings to date: Spread: 5.2 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.4-point home edge (2025-26 margin fit); projected score: 2025-26's average total of 131 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.
Team Stats Comparison
| Stat | Eastern Illi... | Saint Louis ... |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 2 |
| PPG | 51.3 | 82.5 |
| FG% | 41.6% | 52.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 40.0% |
| FT% | 82.9% | 71.9% |
| RPG | 28.0 | 32.0 |
| APG | 8.7 | 17.0 |
| SPG | 4.0 | 9.0 |
| BPG | 5.7 | 8.5 |
| TOPG | 20.7 | 20.0 |
Efficiency Ratings
| Metric | Eastern Illi... | Saint Louis ... |
|---|---|---|
| Adj. Off Eff | 88.2 | 100.9 |
| Adj. Def Eff | 111.8 | 99.1 |
| Adj. Net Eff | -23.7 | 1.9 |
Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength
Eastern Illinois Panthers Top Players
| Player | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | MPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevaeh Dickman | 8.0 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 33.7 |
| Clara Glad | 8.0 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 31.0 |
| Ava Stoller | 6.0 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 27.3 |
| Janyah Bohanon | 7.3 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 26.0 |
| Abbie Boutilier | 4.7 | 4.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 19.3 |
Saint Louis Billikens Top Players
| Player | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | MPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyonna Bailey | 25.5 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 36.0 |
| Mia Bergstrom | 17.0 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 33.5 |
| Jahda Denis | 12.0 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 32.5 |
| D'Myjah Bolds | 13.5 | 6.5 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 26.5 |
| Alyssa Koerkenmeier | 6.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 23.0 |