Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.5% | 86.5% | +12.4 | ✓ (12.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.1% | 98.9% | +24.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers +25 (83-58). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Dawson * | 30 | 5-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 1 | - |
| Vince Dawson III * | 23 | 2-10 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Dalman Alexander * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Tayvion Tangiora * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Izaiah Day * | 14 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Clayton Parker | 22 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Justin Payne | 20 | 2-8 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Davion Cunningham | 13 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jaden Priester | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kyrell Shaw | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Jarvis Wright | 9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jace Winkleman | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Kenyata Carbon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armelo Boone * | 29 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| LJ Hackman * | 22 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| EJ Walker * | 19 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Teagan Moore * | 19 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Emondrek Erkins-Ford * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Sharron Young | 23 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Trevion LaBeaux | 18 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Moussa Konare | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Gabe Weis | 17 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Noah Norgaard | 10 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Joseph Adebayo | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Lawson Rice | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Gavin Murphy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter