Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Projected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo
2026-27 ratings to date
|
41.8% (#17) | 58.2% (#21) | Virgini... -0.3 | 75-75 |
| Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
|
50.8% (#9) | 49.2% (#21) | - | - |
| Margin
2026-27 ratings to date
|
6.3% (#32) | 93.7% (#17) | Virgini... -14.9 | - |
| Pythagorean
2026-27 ratings to date
|
47.6% (#14) | 52.4% (#23) | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
25.8% (#26) | 74.2% (#21) | - | - |
| Log Adjusted
2026-27 ratings to date
|
25.7% (#26) | 74.3% (#22) | - | - |
| Points Off/Def
2026-27 ratings to date
|
38.3% (#12) | 61.7% (#22) | - | - |
2026-27 ratings to date: Spread: 4.6 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.3-point home edge (2025-26 margin fit); projected score: 2025-26's average total of 150 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.
Team Stats Comparison
| Stat | Arkansas Razorbacks | Virginia Cavaliers |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 1 | 2 |
| PPG | 106.0 | 93.0 |
| FG% | 54.7% | 50.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 36.7% |
| FT% | 71.4% | 80.0% |
| RPG | 43.0 | 39.5 |
| APG | 19.0 | 21.5 |
| SPG | 16.0 | 15.0 |
| BPG | 7.0 | 3.5 |
| TOPG | 11.0 | 14.0 |
Efficiency Ratings
| Metric | Arkansas Razorbacks | Virginia Cavaliers |
|---|---|---|
| Adj. Off Eff | 105.5 | 108.5 |
| Adj. Def Eff | 94.5 | 91.5 |
| Adj. Net Eff | 11.0 | 17.0 |
Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength
Arkansas Razorbacks Top Players
No player data available
Virginia Cavaliers Top Players
No player data available