Model Predictions
| Model | Drexel Dragons | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.2% | 97.8% | +27.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.2% | 99.8% | +33.8 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +29 (89-60). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
Drexel Dragons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Simonovic * | 27 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | -13.1 |
| Josh Reed * | 26 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -7.2 |
| Latief Lorenzano-White * | 21 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +4.0 |
| Clem Edomwonyin * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -10.2 |
| Adrian Petkovic * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -4 | -10.7 |
| Panagiotis Pagonis | 28 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -5.3 |
| Amaree Abram | 23 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -9.6 |
| LaDricus Pittman | 21 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | -0.9 |
| Dillon Tingler | 17 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | +8.7 |
| BJ Brown Jr. | 9 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -8.4 |
| Rickey Paulding III | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +6.5 |
| Ralph Akuta | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +6.5 |
| Max Davis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johann Grünloh * | 29 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12 | +14.4 |
| Thijs De Ridder * | 27 | 9-15 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 22 | +17.0 |
| Sam Lewis * | 27 | 6-12 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 17 | +17.6 |
| Chance Mallory * | 22 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 5 | +3.2 |
| Nolan Adekunle * | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +16.2 |
| Kalu Anya | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -7.7 |
| Elijah Gertrude | 15 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | +0.6 |
| Jurian Dixon | 12 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | +5.6 |
| Martin Carrere | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2.9 |
| Christian Harmon | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -7.3 |
| Jan Vide | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +2.1 |
| Favour Ibe | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -8.8 |
| Silas Barksdale | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.6 |
* = starter