Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | George Mason Patriots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.5% | 93.5% | +18.8 | ✓ (9.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.8% | 99.2% | +26.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: George Mason Patriots +28 (82-54). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Able * | 29 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Flash Burton * | 28 | 5-17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | - |
| Riley Jacobs * | 23 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jovan Ristic * | 23 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Devin Ceaser * | 23 | 4-18 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | -5 | - |
| Carlos Varela | 29 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| JP Ndong | 17 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Steven Huan | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jaiden Reynolds | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Alpha Barry | 9 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayden O'Connor * | 29 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Baraka Okojie * | 27 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Efeosa Oliogu-Elabor * | 25 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Elijah Jones * | 25 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Emmanuel Kanga * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Makhai Valentine | 23 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 5-7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Shane Pendergrass | 15 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Emmett Adair | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Malik Presley | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Michael Marcus Jr. | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ryan-Preston Mendy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Peyton Miller | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Bryton Barrett | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter