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2026-11-09

Model Predictions

Model Stonehill Skyhawks Columbia Lions Spread Projected
Elo
2026-27 ratings to date
19.9% (#343) 80.1% (#250) Columbia Lions -8.8 71-79
Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
11.2% (#349) 88.8% (#229) - -
Bradley-Terry Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
15.1% (#341) 84.9% (#239) - -
Margin
2026-27 ratings to date
23.5% (#328) 76.5% (#273) Columbia Lions -13.0 -
Margin Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
23.9% (#327) 76.1% (#276) Columbia Lions -12.7 -
Pythagorean
2026-27 ratings to date
28.2% (#314) 71.8% (#228) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2026-27 ratings to date
34.9% (#324) 65.1% (#204) - -
Log Adjusted
2026-27 ratings to date
34.8% (#322) 65.2% (#204) - -
Points Off/Def
2026-27 ratings to date
19.2% (#334) 80.8% (#280) - -
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
22.2% (#322) 77.8% (#290) - -
Core Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
28.1% (#337) 71.9% (#246) - -
Recency Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
28.8% (#336) 71.2% (#247) - -
Dynamic Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
33.1% (#345) 66.9% (#226) - -
Adjusted Context BlendPrior-only ranking with no forecast

2026-27 ratings to date: Spread: 4.6 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.3-point home edge (2025-26 margin fit); projected score: 2025-26's average total of 150 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Stonehill Skyhawks Columbia Lions
Games 2 2
PPG 73.5 95.5
FG% 40.9% 53.4%
3PT% 26.9% 29.4%
FT% 75.0% 77.4%
RPG 42.0 43.0
APG 12.5 17.5
SPG 4.5 10.5
BPG 3.5 6.0
TOPG 16.0 13.5

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Stonehill Skyhawks Columbia Lions
Adj. Off Eff 93.7 97.7
Adj. Def Eff 106.3 102.3
Adj. Net Eff -12.7 -4.7

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Stonehill Skyhawks Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Trenton Ruth 7.5 4.5 3.5 0.5 0.5 30.5
Anquan Boldin Jr. 12.0 3.5 1.0 0.0 1.5 26.0
Felipe Patino 9.0 2.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 24.5
Jack Medalie 15.0 6.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 24.0
Eli Greenberg 10.0 4.0 3.5 2.0 0.5 23.0

Columbia Lions Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Hampton Sanders 6.5 3.5 6.0 2.5 0.0 24.0
Connor Igoe 11.5 7.5 5.0 0.5 1.0 22.5
Michael Madueme 3.5 4.0 0.5 1.0 1.0 22.0
Gerard O'Keefe 13.0 1.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 21.0
Josh Pratt 14.0 1.0 0.5 2.0 0.0 21.0