Model Predictions
| Model | Rider Broncs | Central Conn... | Spread | Projected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo
2026-27 ratings to date
|
56.3% (#311) | 43.7% (#362) | Rider Broncs -7.7 | 69-62 |
| Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
|
40.6% (#320) | 59.4% (#358) | - | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
33.1% (#309) | 66.9% (#359) | - | - |
| Margin
2026-27 ratings to date
|
75.9% (#258) | 24.1% (#353) | Rider Broncs -12.6 | - |
| Margin Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
75.6% (#258) | 24.4% (#353) | Rider Broncs -12.4 | - |
| Pythagorean
2026-27 ratings to date
|
93.8% (#275) | 6.2% (#357) | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
83.6% (#271) | 16.4% (#358) | - | - |
| Log Adjusted
2026-27 ratings to date
|
84.0% (#271) | 16.0% (#358) | - | - |
| Points Off/Def
2026-27 ratings to date
|
48.7% (#278) | 51.3% (#345) | - | - |
| Points Off/Def Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
46.2% (#256) | 53.8% (#341) | - | - |
| Core Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
|
72.5% (#279) | 27.5% (#354) | - | - |
| Recency Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
|
72.1% (#278) | 27.9% (#355) | - | - |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
|
59.6% (#316) | 40.4% (#361) | - | - |
| Adjusted Context Blend
2026-27 ratings to date
|
82.7% (#308) | 17.3% (#360) | - | - |
2026-27 ratings to date: Spread: 5.2 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.4-point home edge (2025-26 margin fit); projected score: 2025-26's average total of 131 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.
Team Stats Comparison
| Stat | Rider Broncs | Central Conn... |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 1 | 3 |
| PPG | 45.0 | 47.0 |
| FG% | 25.4% | 33.1% |
| 3PT% | 22.2% | 26.4% |
| FT% | 70.0% | 57.4% |
| RPG | 38.0 | 33.0 |
| APG | 10.0 | 7.3 |
| SPG | 6.0 | 5.3 |
| BPG | 1.0 | 3.0 |
| TOPG | 11.0 | 23.3 |
Efficiency Ratings
| Metric | Rider Broncs | Central Conn... |
|---|---|---|
| Adj. Off Eff | 99.8 | 84.7 |
| Adj. Def Eff | 100.2 | 115.3 |
| Adj. Net Eff | -0.3 | -30.7 |
Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength
Rider Broncs Top Players
| Player | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | MPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aliya McIver | 9.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39.0 |
| Giana Hoddinott | 16.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 36.0 |
| Gabby Sweeney | 7.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 35.0 |
| Julia Karpell | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 28.0 |
| Aina Perez Mesquida | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 24.0 |
Central Connectic... Top Players
| Player | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | MPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jill Dingler | 14.7 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 30.0 |
| Liana Salamone | 6.3 | 4.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 24.7 |
| Christa Ramos | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 20.0 |
| Vanyah Otey | 3.7 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 18.3 |
| Nicora Patrick | 2.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 17.7 |