Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Tigers | Vanderbilt C... | Spread | Projected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo
2026-27 ratings to date
|
14.1% (#56) | 85.9% (#15) | Vanderb... -12.0 | 69-81 |
| Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
|
10.3% (#59) | 89.7% (#18) | - | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
14.9% (#54) | 85.1% (#15) | - | - |
| Margin
2026-27 ratings to date
|
6.7% (#117) | 93.3% (#7) | Vanderb... -28.9 | - |
| Margin Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
6.9% (#121) | 93.1% (#6) | Vanderb... -28.7 | - |
| Pythagorean
2026-27 ratings to date
|
6.2% (#112) | 93.8% (#6) | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
19.1% (#94) | 80.9% (#6) | - | - |
| Log Adjusted
2026-27 ratings to date
|
18.6% (#91) | 81.4% (#6) | - | - |
| Points Off/Def
2026-27 ratings to date
|
9.7% (#83) | 90.3% (#8) | - | - |
| Points Off/Def Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
11.5% (#92) | 88.5% (#7) | - | - |
| Core Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
|
15.8% (#85) | 84.2% (#8) | - | - |
| Recency Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
|
16.3% (#86) | 83.7% (#8) | - | - |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
|
30.3% (#62) | 69.7% (#14) | - | - |
| Adjusted Context Blend | Prior-only ranking with no forecast | |||
2026-27 ratings to date: Spread: 4.6 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.3-point home edge (2025-26 margin fit); projected score: 2025-26's average total of 150 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.
Team Stats Comparison
| Stat | Memphis Tigers | Vanderbilt C... |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | 2 |
| PPG | 84.5 | 83.5 |
| FG% | 45.9% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 45.2% | 37.0% |
| FT% | 70.4% | 77.8% |
| RPG | 34.0 | 43.0 |
| APG | 11.0 | 16.5 |
| SPG | 7.5 | 9.0 |
| BPG | 3.5 | 3.5 |
| TOPG | 10.5 | 10.5 |
Efficiency Ratings
| Metric | Memphis Tigers | Vanderbilt C... |
|---|---|---|
| Adj. Off Eff | 102.8 | 115.0 |
| Adj. Def Eff | 97.2 | 85.0 |
| Adj. Net Eff | 5.7 | 29.9 |
Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength
Memphis Tigers Top Players
| Player | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | MPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rihards Vavers | 16.0 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 36.0 |
| Jayden Reid | 29.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 31.5 |
| Tylik Weeks | 12.5 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 31.5 |
| Luke Almodovar | 12.5 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 31.5 |
| Corneilous Williams | 3.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 21.0 |
Vanderbilt Commodores Top Players
| Player | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | MPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Tanner | 18.5 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 29.0 |
| Ace Glass | 14.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 25.5 |
| Berke Buyuktuncel | 9.0 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 24.0 |
| Chandler Bing | 12.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 22.5 |
| Sebastian Williams-Adams | 5.5 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 19.5 |