Model Predictions
| Model | UL Monroe Warhawks | TCU Horned Frogs | Spread | Projected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo
2026-27 ratings to date
|
1.1% (#363) | 98.9% (#46) | TCU Hor... -33.1 | 59-92 |
| Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
|
2.1% (#364) | 97.9% (#48) | - | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
6.2% (#364) | 93.8% (#45) | - | - |
| Margin
2026-27 ratings to date
|
1.4% (#334) | 98.6% (#5) | TCU Hor... -46.7 | - |
| Margin Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
1.5% (#333) | 98.5% (#5) | TCU Hor... -45.8 | - |
| Pythagorean
2026-27 ratings to date
|
1.0% (#303) | 99.0% (#11) | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
6.7% (#317) | 93.3% (#10) | - | - |
| Log Adjusted
2026-27 ratings to date
|
6.5% (#317) | 93.5% (#10) | - | - |
| Points Off/Def
2026-27 ratings to date
|
2.5% (#357) | 97.5% (#12) | - | - |
| Points Off/Def Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
4.3% (#346) | 95.7% (#8) | - | - |
| Core Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
|
3.6% (#350) | 96.4% (#13) | - | - |
| Recency Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
|
4.0% (#347) | 96.0% (#12) | - | - |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
|
10.6% (#364) | 89.4% (#44) | - | - |
| Adjusted Context Blend | Prior-only ranking with no forecast | |||
2026-27 ratings to date: Spread: 4.6 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.3-point home edge (2025-26 margin fit); projected score: 2025-26's average total of 150 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.
Team Stats Comparison
| Stat | UL Monroe Warhawks | TCU Horned Frogs |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | 2 |
| PPG | 88.5 | 102.0 |
| FG% | 44.4% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 50.0% |
| FT% | 69.1% | 79.2% |
| RPG | 45.0 | 44.5 |
| APG | 14.5 | 22.5 |
| SPG | 12.5 | 15.5 |
| BPG | 3.0 | 3.5 |
| TOPG | 10.5 | 12.0 |
Efficiency Ratings
| Metric | UL Monroe Warhawks | TCU Horned Frogs |
|---|---|---|
| Adj. Off Eff | 99.0 | 115.0 |
| Adj. Def Eff | 101.0 | 85.0 |
| Adj. Net Eff | -2.1 | 29.9 |
Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength
UL Monroe Warhawks Top Players
| Player | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | MPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dayjaun Anderson | 21.5 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 30.5 |
| Phillip Tillman | 7.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 28.0 |
| Quaran McPherson | 18.5 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 27.0 |
| Lance Carr | 5.5 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 24.5 |
| Ziyade Ndancky | 9.5 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 23.0 |
TCU Horned Frogs Top Players
| Player | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | MPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Thomas | 15.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 27.5 |
| Tanner Toolson | 11.5 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 26.0 |
| Micah Robinson | 18.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 25.5 |
| Trent Lincoln | 10.0 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 25.0 |
| Brock Harding | 13.5 | 3.5 | 8.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 24.0 |