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Model Predictions

Model SE Louisiana... TCU Horned Frogs Spread Projected
Elo
2026-27 ratings to date
1.2% (#272) 98.8% (#20) TCU Hor... -34.7 48-83
Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
3.1% (#287) 96.9% (#27) - -
Bradley-Terry Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
8.7% (#276) 91.3% (#26) - -
Margin
2026-27 ratings to date
1.0% (#341) 99.0% (#28) TCU Hor... -50.5 -
Margin Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
1.1% (#341) 98.9% (#27) TCU Hor... -49.6 -
Pythagorean
2026-27 ratings to date
0.0% (#325) 100.0% (#6) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2026-27 ratings to date
1.0% (#305) 99.0% (#5) - -
Log Adjusted
2026-27 ratings to date
0.9% (#310) 99.1% (#5) - -
Points Off/Def
2026-27 ratings to date
1.4% (#331) 98.6% (#14) - -
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
2.2% (#336) 97.8% (#11) - -
Core Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
1.6% (#326) 98.4% (#15) - -
Recency Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
1.8% (#325) 98.2% (#15) - -
Dynamic Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
10.1% (#283) 89.9% (#22) - -
Adjusted Context Blend
2026-27 ratings to date
3.0% (#308) 97.0% (#20) - -

2026-27 ratings to date: Spread: 5.2 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.4-point home edge (2025-26 margin fit); projected score: 2025-26's average total of 131 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat SE Louisiana... TCU Horned Frogs
Games 2 4
PPG 53.0 90.5
FG% 37.0% 50.0%
3PT% 25.0% 27.9%
FT% 61.5% 78.8%
RPG 23.5 46.0
APG 8.5 22.0
SPG 9.5 10.0
BPG 2.5 4.5
TOPG 23.0 11.3

Efficiency Ratings

Metric SE Louisiana... TCU Horned Frogs
Adj. Off Eff 86.9 120.4
Adj. Def Eff 113.1 79.6
Adj. Net Eff -26.1 40.8

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

SE Louisiana Lady Lions Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Aliyah Collins 13.5 2.5 2.0 2.0 0.0 31.5
Natalie Huff 16.5 1.5 1.0 4.0 0.0 31.0
Micah Cooper 3.0 1.5 2.0 0.0 0.0 28.0
Eryn McKinzie 4.5 3.0 2.5 0.5 1.0 25.5
Susan Fahnbulleh 3.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 19.5

TCU Horned Frogs Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Lanie Grant 11.0 1.3 3.3 0.5 0.0 28.0
Jadyn Wooten 14.3 4.3 5.3 1.5 0.3 27.0
Clara Bielefeld 7.3 5.8 3.3 1.0 0.8 22.0
Lara Somfai 15.0 9.5 1.5 0.8 0.5 21.5
Jessie-May Hall 10.0 3.0 2.3 2.5 0.0 21.0