Model Predictions
| Model | Tarleton State Texans | TCU Horned Frogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.4% | 98.6% | +33.0 | ✓ (14.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.5% | 96.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.0% | 98.0% | +43.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 0.1% | 99.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.4% | 98.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: TCU Horned Frogs +47 (89-42). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Tarleton State Texans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephany Gonçalves * | 29 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | -4.1 |
| Caroline Lyles * | 28 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Kristian Hieskill * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Lucia Navarro * | 27 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | -2.5 |
| Olivia Medford * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | -9.2 |
| Jovana Spasovski | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +2.1 |
| Alayna Yates | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.7 |
| Nyah Buntun | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Marie Diame | 10 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -5.7 |
| Kendall Ford | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Astrid Mukulumpe | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Brooklyn King | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -3.1 |
TCU Horned Frogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadyn Wooten * | 28 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 15 | +18.9 |
| Lanie Grant * | 27 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | +11.0 |
| Lara Somfai * | 19 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 16 | +13.7 |
| Clara Silva * | 18 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Bella Hines * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +7.4 |
| Jessie-May Hall | 23 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | +5.6 |
| Clara Bielefeld | 23 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Camille Williams | 16 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +3.1 |
| Laura Vilcinskas | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | -3.8 |
| Sarah Portlock | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Avery Hjelmstad | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4.2 |
* = starter