Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio State Buckeyes | UConn Huskies | Spread | Projected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo
2026-27 ratings to date
|
15.0% (#37) | 85.0% (#8) | UConn Huskies -11.5 | 69-81 |
| Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
|
14.3% (#32) | 85.7% (#10) | - | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
16.7% (#36) | 83.3% (#6) | - | - |
| Margin
2026-27 ratings to date
|
42.5% (#22) | 57.5% (#18) | UConn Huskies -3.3 | - |
| Margin Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
42.9% (#22) | 57.1% (#17) | UConn Huskies -3.1 | - |
| Pythagorean
2026-27 ratings to date
|
21.3% (#73) | 78.7% (#20) | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
40.2% (#41) | 59.8% (#20) | - | - |
| Log Adjusted
2026-27 ratings to date
|
40.0% (#41) | 60.0% (#20) | - | - |
| Points Off/Def
2026-27 ratings to date
|
23.0% (#26) | 77.0% (#11) | - | - |
| Points Off/Def Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
24.6% (#25) | 75.4% (#11) | - | - |
| Core Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
|
34.8% (#33) | 65.2% (#13) | - | - |
| Recency Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
|
35.2% (#32) | 64.8% (#14) | - | - |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
|
34.4% (#37) | 65.6% (#9) | - | - |
| Adjusted Context Blend
2026-27 ratings to date
|
36.2% (#25) | 63.8% (#17) | - | - |
2026-27 ratings to date: Spread: 4.6 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.3-point home edge (2025-26 margin fit); projected score: 2025-26's average total of 150 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.
Team Stats Comparison
| Stat | Ohio State Buckeyes | UConn Huskies |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | 2 |
| PPG | 86.0 | 85.5 |
| FG% | 48.3% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 27.7% | 35.3% |
| FT% | 88.7% | 75.0% |
| RPG | 38.5 | 39.5 |
| APG | 16.5 | 14.5 |
| SPG | 7.0 | 8.0 |
| BPG | 4.5 | 4.0 |
| TOPG | 12.0 | 11.0 |
Efficiency Ratings
| Metric | Ohio State Buckeyes | UConn Huskies |
|---|---|---|
| Adj. Off Eff | 105.7 | 108.0 |
| Adj. Def Eff | 94.3 | 92.0 |
| Adj. Net Eff | 11.4 | 15.9 |
Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength
Ohio State Buckeyes Top Players
| Player | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | MPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amare Bynum | 17.5 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 31.5 |
| John Mobley Jr. | 19.5 | 3.0 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 30.5 |
| Justin Pippen | 11.0 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 26.0 |
| A. Jelavić | 17.0 | 9.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 22.0 |
| Anthony Thompson | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 18.5 |
UConn Huskies Top Players
| Player | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | MPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silas Demary Jr. | 13.0 | 7.5 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 31.0 |
| Jayden Ross | 8.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 29.5 |
| Braylon Mullins | 21.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 26.0 |
| Nik Khamenia | 10.5 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 24.5 |
| Colben Landrew | 12.5 | 6.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 22.0 |