Model Predictions
| Model | Marshall Thu... | Ohio State Buckeyes | Spread | Projected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo
2026-27 ratings to date
|
3.4% (#257) | 96.6% (#37) | Ohio St... -24.1 | 63-87 |
| Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
|
4.1% (#281) | 95.9% (#32) | - | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
9.3% (#294) | 90.7% (#36) | - | - |
| Margin
2026-27 ratings to date
|
11.4% (#155) | 88.6% (#22) | Ohio St... -22.6 | - |
| Margin Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
12.0% (#154) | 88.0% (#22) | Ohio St... -21.9 | - |
| Pythagorean
2026-27 ratings to date
|
19.6% (#150) | 80.4% (#73) | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
21.0% (#171) | 79.0% (#41) | - | - |
| Log Adjusted
2026-27 ratings to date
|
20.7% (#171) | 79.3% (#41) | - | - |
| Points Off/Def
2026-27 ratings to date
|
8.3% (#213) | 91.7% (#26) | - | - |
| Points Off/Def Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
11.9% (#211) | 88.1% (#25) | - | - |
| Core Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
|
13.6% (#199) | 86.4% (#33) | - | - |
| Recency Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
|
14.5% (#197) | 85.5% (#32) | - | - |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
|
16.2% (#268) | 83.8% (#37) | - | - |
| Adjusted Context Blend
2026-27 ratings to date
|
4.8% (#238) | 95.2% (#25) | - | - |
2026-27 ratings to date: Spread: 4.6 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.3-point home edge (2025-26 margin fit); projected score: 2025-26's average total of 150 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.
Team Stats Comparison
| Stat | Marshall Thu... | Ohio State Buckeyes |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | 2 |
| PPG | 84.0 | 86.0 |
| FG% | 47.4% | 48.3% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 27.7% |
| FT% | 67.7% | 88.7% |
| RPG | 45.0 | 38.5 |
| APG | 15.0 | 16.5 |
| SPG | 4.5 | 7.0 |
| BPG | 2.0 | 4.5 |
| TOPG | 13.5 | 12.0 |
Efficiency Ratings
| Metric | Marshall Thu... | Ohio State Buckeyes |
|---|---|---|
| Adj. Off Eff | 102.2 | 105.7 |
| Adj. Def Eff | 97.8 | 94.3 |
| Adj. Net Eff | 4.3 | 11.4 |
Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength
Marshall Thundering Herd Top Players
| Player | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | MPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Slay | 21.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 36.0 |
| Noah Otshudi | 19.0 | 5.5 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 31.0 |
| Emmanuel Manyuon | 12.0 | 8.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 29.0 |
| Fazl Oshodi | 12.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 19.5 |
| Khaman Maker | 3.5 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 18.5 |
Ohio State Buckeyes Top Players
| Player | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | MPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amare Bynum | 17.5 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 31.5 |
| John Mobley Jr. | 19.5 | 3.0 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 30.5 |
| Justin Pippen | 11.0 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 26.0 |
| A. Jelavić | 17.0 | 9.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 22.0 |
| Anthony Thompson | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 18.5 |