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Model Predictions

Model Marshall Thu... Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Projected
Elo
2026-27 ratings to date
3.4% (#257) 96.6% (#37) Ohio St... -24.1 63-87
Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
4.1% (#281) 95.9% (#32) - -
Bradley-Terry Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
9.3% (#294) 90.7% (#36) - -
Margin
2026-27 ratings to date
11.4% (#155) 88.6% (#22) Ohio St... -22.6 -
Margin Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
12.0% (#154) 88.0% (#22) Ohio St... -21.9 -
Pythagorean
2026-27 ratings to date
19.6% (#150) 80.4% (#73) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2026-27 ratings to date
21.0% (#171) 79.0% (#41) - -
Log Adjusted
2026-27 ratings to date
20.7% (#171) 79.3% (#41) - -
Points Off/Def
2026-27 ratings to date
8.3% (#213) 91.7% (#26) - -
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
11.9% (#211) 88.1% (#25) - -
Core Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
13.6% (#199) 86.4% (#33) - -
Recency Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
14.5% (#197) 85.5% (#32) - -
Dynamic Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
16.2% (#268) 83.8% (#37) - -
Adjusted Context Blend
2026-27 ratings to date
4.8% (#238) 95.2% (#25) - -

2026-27 ratings to date: Spread: 4.6 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.3-point home edge (2025-26 margin fit); projected score: 2025-26's average total of 150 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Marshall Thu... Ohio State Buckeyes
Games 2 2
PPG 84.0 86.0
FG% 47.4% 48.3%
3PT% 38.9% 27.7%
FT% 67.7% 88.7%
RPG 45.0 38.5
APG 15.0 16.5
SPG 4.5 7.0
BPG 2.0 4.5
TOPG 13.5 12.0

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Marshall Thu... Ohio State Buckeyes
Adj. Off Eff 102.2 105.7
Adj. Def Eff 97.8 94.3
Adj. Net Eff 4.3 11.4

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Marshall Thundering Herd Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Bryce Slay 21.0 4.0 2.0 1.5 0.0 36.0
Noah Otshudi 19.0 5.5 5.0 0.5 0.0 31.0
Emmanuel Manyuon 12.0 8.5 3.0 0.5 0.0 29.0
Fazl Oshodi 12.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 19.5
Khaman Maker 3.5 8.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 18.5

Ohio State Buckeyes Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Amare Bynum 17.5 5.5 2.5 0.5 1.5 31.5
John Mobley Jr. 19.5 3.0 5.5 1.0 0.0 30.5
Justin Pippen 11.0 4.5 2.5 0.5 0.0 26.0
A. Jelavić 17.0 9.0 0.5 1.5 2.0 22.0
Anthony Thompson 3.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 18.5