Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | Quinnipiac Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.2% | 61.8% | -1.1 | ✗ (22.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.2% | 37.8% | -5.5 | ✓ (18.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 88.5% | 11.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Quinnipiac Bobcats -24 (67-91). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heidi Williams * | 25 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Kennedy Austin * | 23 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Alaina Williams * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Angela Williams * | 21 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | +0.9 |
| Tiara Bellamy * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Dagny Slomack | 27 | 6-8 | 5-7 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Shariah Baynes | 22 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -14.0 |
| Alden Yergey | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +6.6 |
| Jeanine Brandsma | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Gabby Scott | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Maisie Crowley | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Syd Sutton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | +0.0 |
| Cai Roberson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.1 |
Quinnipiac Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elle Snyder * | 30 | 5-8 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 21 | -7.6 |
| Lilly Thomas * | 26 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | +1.5 |
| Kayla Hopson * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2 | -0.5 |
| Payton Dulin * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +0.2 |
| Alanna Benoit * | 18 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | -1.1 |
| Maria Kealy | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Ava Thomas | 19 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | -15.3 |
| Mya Alston | 14 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -3.6 |
| Ava Sollenne | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Leila Washington | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.1 |
| Uliana Doronina | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +0.3 |
| Imani Mullings | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.0 |
* = starter